Paul's Winter Weather Forecast - WRCBtv.com | Chattanooga News, Weather & Sports

Paul's Winter Weather Forecast

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Paul Barys
Storm Alert 3 Chief Meteorologist

CHATTANOOGA (WRCB) - After a very cold winter last year, and a lot of snow – up to ten inches across the Tennessee Valley, even more in some of the higher elevations – everybody wants to know what this winter is going to be like.

First of all, we'll start with Christmas and take a look at what usually happens.  Last time we got any significant snow was back in 1989.

Down in the Valley area, there's only about a 1 in 25 chance of a White Christmas.  That isn't a very good chance for any type of snow. In the Mountains, it's about 1 in 15 chance of getting that snow. So we don't expect a lot over Christmas time.

Winter temperatures, on the average, will be warmer.  The Jet Stream is going to be north of us.  We'll have above normal temperatures.  The cold is air is going to stay farther off to the north.

It'll be one hundred percent different than it was last year.

And as far as winter snow goes, I think it will be a little drier than normal, with below normal snow and below normal ice.  That doesn't mean we're not going to get any, but as far as the normals go, and that's about four and half inches of snow in the Tennessee Valley, it looks like it'll be a little less.

If we get any, the better chance, it looks like now, will be in December.

So as of right now, it looks like a warmer, drier winter for the Tennessee Valley, especially when you compare it to last winter.

For more than two decades, folks across the Tennessee Valley have all said the same thing, "Paul said it would be like this!"

Paul Barys has been accurately predicting every weather events since the "Storm of ‘93" when Paul predicted 20 inches of snow in March.

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